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The Conservative Caucus Blog

Young voter shift - Jim Pfaff on the YouGov poll, October ops and the Senate map, The Vicki McKenna Show WIBA iHeart October 8 2026

The Young Voter Shift and the October Ops: Jim Pfaff on The Vicki McKenna Show | Oct 8, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 8, 2026

Vicki McKenna brings Jim Pfaff a fresh YouGov poll: a 64% increase in support for MAGA candidates and Trump among voters under 25. Pfaff hopes the young voter shift is real, asks what pollsters are sampling, and says polls are so inconsistent that district results swing 5, 7, 8 points. The two sort the October ops from what is real, Pfaff calls the AI doomerism push a psyop, says the Senate stays Republican at 50 to 53 seats, and predicts turnout differences that are going to shock a lot of people.

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October 7 anniversary - Jim Pfaff on antisemitism, Hamas, the Abraham Accords and people of faith, The Morning Answer with Jennifer Horn AM 590 The Answer October 7 2026

The October 7 Anniversary, Antisemitism and People of Faith: Jim Pfaff on The Morning Answer with Jennifer Horn | Oct 7, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 7, 2026

On the October 7 anniversary, Jennifer Horn asked Jim Pfaff where the nation stands on antisemitism. Pfaff said the conspiracy theory that Israelis tried to kill Charlie Kirk added to it and called that obscene and absurd. He said Israel was right to retaliate because Hamas is a terrorist organization out to destroy Israel, and he prays the Abraham Accords get expanded. He told people of faith the Bible is not a socialist institution, pointed to Article I, Section 8, and credited Steve Hilton for showing how Xavier Becerra failed at HHS.

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Generic ballot - Jim Pfaff on turnout models, the Senate races and the House count, The Bill Mitchell Show October 7 2026

The Generic Ballot and the Missing Turnout Model: Jim Pfaff on The Bill Mitchell Show | Oct 7, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 7, 2026

Jim Pfaff tells Bill Mitchell why the generic ballot settles nothing yet: the polls run from D+2 to D+15, and he does not think any pollster has figured out the turnout model. Pfaff walks through the Senate races in Texas, Michigan, Ohio and Maine, counts 212 Republican, 204 Democrat and 19 toss-up House seats, warns a Democrat House would push impeachment, and says the Harvard-Harris D+2 poll shows Republicans can win if Trump’s 2024 voters show up.

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Mark Kelly tax plan - Jim Pfaff on affordability, inflation and the DSA, The Dan Carroll Show 700 WLW October 7 2026

The Mark Kelly Tax Plan and the Democrats’ Old Playbook: Jim Pfaff on The Dan Carroll Show | Oct 7, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 7, 2026

On The Dan Carroll Show, Jim Pfaff answers the Mark Kelly tax plan Kelly offered on Face the Nation: raise taxes on incomes over $1 million to make life affordable. Pfaff says confiscating all the wealth of the rich would pay the federal budget for one year, that you don’t tax any country into prosperity, and that Trump brought Biden-era 21% inflation down to 2-3%. He predicts the DSA ick factor sinks Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan and says Congress should restructure the federal courts.

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El-Sayed and Mark Kelly - Jim Pfaff on the DSA ick factor, Michigan school funding and Mark Kelly's millionaire tax, Worldview Tube Washington Report October 6 2026

Abdul El-Sayed and Mark Kelly, the Policies Republicans Must Confront: Jim Pfaff on Worldview Tube — Washington Report | Oct 6, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 6, 2026

Jim Pfaff told Worldview Tube’s Washington Report that a DSA ick factor is costing Abdul El-Sayed even committed Democrats, called for the Tom Tiffany ad branding Democrats accomplices on illegal immigration to run nationwide, and took common cause with Bill Maher against the DSA. He answered El-Sayed’s call for more school money with Michigan’s $21,300 per child and school choice, and Mark Kelly’s millionaire tax with a simple rule: you cannot tax a country into prosperity.

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Republican ground game - Jim Pfaff on Arizona early voting, the midterms and Congress, The Russ Clark Show KBLU 560 Yuma October 6 2026

The Republican Ground Game as Arizona Voting Opens: Jim Pfaff on The Russ Clark Show | Oct 6, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 6, 2026

As Arizona’s early voting opened, Jim Pfaff told Russ Clark the best outcome for Democrats is a blue trickle, not a sweep, and that Republicans will do a lot better than people expect, with candidates who carry the administration’s message making the difference in some seats. He urged Trump to run on the numbers instead of giveaways, credited Andy Biggs’ campaign against Katie Hobbs, named the GOP’s consultant problem, and explained why Tom Homan fights the press while Republicans in Congress, worried about a $174,000 paycheck and leadership, do not.

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Young voter turnout - Jim Pfaff on the midterms, the DSA ick factor and the Texas Senate race, Rush to Reason KLZ 560 October 6 2026

Young Voter Turnout, the DSA Ick Factor and the Texas Senate Race: Jim Pfaff on Rush to Reason | Oct 6, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 6, 2026

Jim Pfaff tells Rush to Reason on KLZ 560 that young voter turnout limits the damage from the Massie, Tucker, Candace wing: young people generally don’t come out for elections like this one. He says the turnout model is what matters, calls the Harvard-Harris poll’s D+2 generic ballot a 2024-style model, and dismisses a D+15 claim. Pfaff says the DSA ick factor is out there and is not helping Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan and predicts Ken Paxton beats James Talarico in Texas, maybe even in spite of himself.

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Brazil election - Jim Pfaff on Flávio Bolsonaro, Lula, Trump's motorcade and the midterms, Worldview Tube Washington Report October 5 2026

The Brazil Election, Lula and Trump’s Campaign Trail: Jim Pfaff on Worldview Tube — Washington Report | Oct 5, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 5, 2026

Jim Pfaff opened Worldview Tube’s Washington Report with Logan Howse on the Brazil election: Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula and headed to a runoff, Lula taken out of jail to run in 2022, and machines Pfaff is convinced were rigged. He pledged to attend the inauguration if Flávio wins, praised Trump’s 100-mile motorcade to a Texas rally while opposing the $100 and $5,000 checks, called Tom Cotton a statist on daylight saving time, sized up the 2028 field, and said momentum is not with Democrats 30 days out.

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Midterm seats in play - Jim Pfaff on the House toss-ups, the Senate map and the Democrat Socialists, The Roger Franklin Williams Show October 4 2026

Midterm Seats in Play, from Minnesota to Kansas: Jim Pfaff on The Roger Franklin Williams Show | Oct 4, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 4, 2026

One month out from the 2026 midterms, Jim Pfaff tells Roger Franklin Williams that Republicans have about 210 safe House seats to the Democrats’ 206, with 16 undecided and a very real chance Democrats take the House. He projects Republicans hold the Senate with 51 or 52 seats, names Minnesota’s Michele Tafoya and New Hampshire’s John E. Sununu as surprises, warns that Roger Marshall is in big trouble in Kansas, and traces the rise of the Democrat Socialists to a Democrat Party that wants a Politburo in the House.

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Mass deportation - Jim Pfaff on the Mass Deportation Coalition, Iran and the United Nations, On Second Thought WHKY October 2 2026

Mass Deportation and the Gate Left Open: Jim Pfaff on On Second Thought | Oct 2, 2026

bhulsyTCC October 2, 2026

Chuck Boozer and Jim Pfaff take up mass deportation on On Second Thought. Boozer says somewhere between 10 and 20 million people were let in during the Biden administration and the gate was left open for about 4 years. Pfaff says TCC is part of the Mass Deportation Coalition, which supports all that Trump has done so far but says the country needs to go further, deport people here illegally, and clean up the internal mess. Pfaff also says Iran has been at war with us for 47 years, calls the United Nations useless and irrelevant, and backs unilateral trade with China.

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Mr. Peter J. Thomas

Chairman

Peter J. Thomas is a veteran conservative political strategist and seasoned policy expert dedicated to upholding the principles of the Constitution and democracy. As a founder and the chairman of the Conservative Caucus, he has played a pivotal role in promoting and shaping the conservative agenda across the nation for over half a century.

Peter’s distinguished career includes key presidential appointments under Presidents Reagan, Bush Sr., and Bush Jr. Under President Reagan, he served as the New England Regional Administrator of the General Services Administration. During Bush Sr.’s administration, he was the Special Assistant to the Secretary of Small Business. Under Bush Jr., he rose to the position of Acting Assistant Secretary for Administration in the Department of Agriculture. Additionally, Peter gained invaluable insight into Congress as Chief of Staff to Rep. Peter Torkildsen (R-MA).

Peter’s dedication to conservative values is further demonstrated by his tenure as the National Field Director of TCC in its early years, when he oversaw chapters in most congressional districts. His diverse experience also includes, founding and presiding over the Massachusetts Foundation for Economic Research, serving as director of communications for Papa Gino’s restaurants, and earning accolades as a leading sales representative for State Mutual of America.