Government Shutdown Strategy: Trust Trump DOGE


Jim Pfaff on Trusting Trump and Musk’s DOGE Over Republican Leadership

Published: March 13, 2025
Network: The Conservative Caucus
Analysis: Conservative Caucus President Jim Pfaff


The debate over the latest continuing resolution has exposed a fundamental divide among conservatives: trust Trump’s government shutdown strategy or demand immediate spending cuts? Jim Pfaff, President of The Conservative Caucus and former Chief of Staff to Rep. Thomas Massie, argues that this time is different—not because of Republican leadership in Congress, but because of President Trump and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (Doge). In a revealing discussion, Pfaff explains why even the most fiscally conservative voices should reconsider their opposition to short-term funding extensions when the alternative is a comprehensive restructuring of federal spending.

Topics Covered

Why Democrats Fear Being Blamed for a Government Shutdown

In a stunning admission on MSNBC, Claire McCaskill revealed that Democrats are terrified of being blamed for a government shutdown—a remarkable reversal from their typical eagerness to attack Republicans. McCaskill warned that if Democrats become “the reason that the government shuts down, that muddles their message that in fact it’s the Trump Administration that is trying to shut down your government services like Social Security, like Medicaid, like veterans benefits.”

Jim Pfaff immediately recognized the significance of this statement. As someone who worked on Capitol Hill through multiple shutdowns during the Boehner and Ryan speakerships, Pfaff has witnessed firsthand how Democrats typically weaponize shutdown threats against Republicans. This time, however, the political dynamics have shifted dramatically.

“This just shows how really solid Donald Trump’s hold on the political discussion is right now and on the inertia in what’s happening in Washington DC.”
— Jim Pfaff, President, The Conservative Caucus

Pfaff characterized the current Democratic messaging as “Democrats for the bureaucrats,” noting that their primary concern is protecting federal government jobs rather than addressing the fiscal crisis facing the nation. McCaskill’s concern about “muddling their message” reveals that Democrats sense they’re on the wrong side of public opinion when it comes to government efficiency and spending reform.

Trump’s Government Shutdown Strategy: A Different Approach

The current government shutdown strategy differs fundamentally from previous Republican approaches, according to Pfaff. Under Speakers Boehner and Ryan, continuing resolutions were used by establishment Republicans who were “part of this mess” and “wanted to get their cut.” The game was rigged from the start, with CRs serving as vehicles for maintaining the status quo rather than implementing genuine reform.

What makes this situation unique is the decoupling of defense spending from discretionary government spending in the current CR. This strategic move, which secured House Freedom Caucus support, sets the stage for more aggressive spending reforms through two critical legislative mechanisms: the recision bill and the reconciliation bill.

Understanding the Legislative Strategy

Recision Bill: Allows the Trump Administration to propose spending cuts that only require a majority vote in Congress. Reports indicate up to $500 billion in cuts are being prepared by OMB Director Russ Vought.

Reconciliation Bill: Also requires only a majority vote, enabling Republicans to restructure the tax code and fund border enforcement priorities without needing 60 Senate votes.

Timeline: The CR extends only through September, creating pressure to pass all 12 appropriations bills—something Congress hasn’t accomplished since 1998.

This legislative framework represents a genuine opportunity to bypass the usual Senate filibuster obstacles and implement conservative fiscal policy with simple majorities. However, it requires getting past the current Biden-era spending baseline first.

Trusting Trump and Doge Over Republican Leadership

When pressed on whether conservatives should trust Republican leadership after years of broken promises, Pfaff was unequivocal: “I trust Trump and Elon and Doge and no I don’t trust Republican leadership in Congress. I don’t.”

This distinction is critical to understanding Pfaff’s position. He’s not asking conservatives to place faith in the same Congressional leaders who have repeatedly failed to deliver on spending reform. Instead, he’s arguing that Trump and Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency represent an entirely new dynamic in Washington.

“I have to trust Trump and that Elon and Doge are a different set of circumstances than we’ve ever seen before. That’s where I am with this. This time I trust Trump and Elon and Doge.”
— Jim Pfaff, President, The Conservative Caucus

Pfaff acknowledged the audience’s justified skepticism, noting that conservatives have been told “next time, next time, next time” for years while watching Republicans “Kick the Can” on spending reform. But he argues that Doge represents something unprecedented: a systematic, surgical examination of every federal agency’s finances with the explicit goal of identifying waste and implementing cuts.

The evidence of this new approach is already visible across multiple agencies. Lee Zeldin continues slashing EPA budgets, terminating another $20 billion in Biden climate grants. Kelly Leffler at the Small Business Administration is investigating how much COVID relief money went to Planned Parenthood. Pete Hegseth at Defense, Linda McMahon at Education, and Marco Rubio at State are all conducting similar reviews of their departments’ spending.

The Reconciliation and Recision Bill Strategy

The heart of the Trump Administration’s government shutdown strategy revolves around setting up conditions for two major legislative vehicles that can pass with simple majorities. Pfaff explained that this approach could succeed “if the recision bill comes back and Congress votes on it and if we can get the reconciliation in the future.”

The recision bill, in particular, represents a powerful tool that hasn’t been effectively utilized in recent years. It allows the executive branch to propose specific spending cuts that Congress must vote on with a simple up-or-down majority vote. With Russ Vought preparing proposals for up to $500 billion in cuts, this could represent the most significant spending reduction in modern American history.

The reconciliation bill would address the tax structure, making Trump’s tax cuts permanent while also funding critical priorities like border enforcement under Tom Homan. By decoupling defense spending from other discretionary spending in the current CR, Republicans have positioned themselves to make strategic choices rather than accepting omnibus packages that fund everything or nothing.

Pfaff emphasized that this strategy requires getting to September and then passing all 12 appropriations bills individually—something Congress is legally required to do but hasn’t accomplished since 1998. “If they don’t get the budget passed, don’t forget we got to get the 12 appropriations bills passed by September as they’re required to do by law,” he noted.

Addressing Conservative Skepticism on CRs

Not all conservatives are convinced by this government shutdown strategy. Caller “Chip” from Minnesota articulated the concerns of many fiscal hawks: “Why don’t we trust Trump now to fight the fight with the CR? Trump has two years, you don’t know what’s going to happen in the next election. You’re gonna push the fight off for nine months and then think you’re going to solve everything?”

Chip’s frustration reflected a broader conservative sentiment that Republicans always have “wonderful plans in the making” but never follow through. He argued that with Trump’s mandate, the lowest media credibility in history, and control of Congress, now is the time to force a confrontation rather than extend the Biden-era spending baseline for six more months.

The host acknowledged the validity of this perspective, noting that many audience members share Chip’s view. However, he defended the strategic approach: “In order to get to a proper budget where they set the terms, you have to start afresh and you got to get past this. We didn’t have time in my opinion to do anything else.”

This debate highlights a genuine tension within the conservative movement between those who want immediate confrontation and those who believe strategic patience will yield better long-term results. Pfaff himself admitted to being “rabidly against the CRs” throughout his career, but concluded after consulting with former Congressional colleagues that “this could be a good thing to happen” given the unique circumstances.

The Reality Check for Federal Workers

The discussion took a pointed turn when addressing federal workers who have been writing to complain about threats to their jobs and the disrespect they feel from calls for government efficiency. The host delivered an unapologetic message to government employees feeling threatened by the current reforms.

“You’re talking to a guy that works entirely too hard, so bring it, give me your best. I just don’t care. You’re not going to be able to wound me enough to convince me that my take on thinning the herd that is the government employment sector is a net bad thing.”
— Chris Stigall, Host

The host emphasized that private sector workers live with constant uncertainty about their employment, having to meet “demands and budgets and quotas and metrics” or lose their jobs and ability to feed their families. He argued that federal workers drawing paychecks from taxpayers should be subject to the same accountability and efficiency standards as everyone else.

This perspective reflects a broader conservative view that government employment has become insulated from the economic realities facing ordinary Americans. The reference to the movie “Office Space” illustrated how private sector workers must constantly justify their value and productivity—a standard that should apply equally to government employees.

The host acknowledged that not all federal workers are wasteful or unnecessary, stating “some of you are, not saying all of you aren’t, many of you aren’t, some of you are.” However, he insisted that making distinctions and asking “what are you doing with our money? Are you being the most efficient with it? Are you bettering the country?” represents reasonable oversight by taxpayers.

Key Takeaways

  1. Democrats Fear Shutdown Blame – Claire McCaskill’s admission that Democrats worry about being blamed for a government shutdown reveals Trump’s strong position on fiscal issues and government efficiency.
  2. Doge Changes Everything – The Department of Government Efficiency under Elon Musk represents an unprecedented systematic review of federal spending, distinguishing this government shutdown strategy from past Republican failures.
  3. Legislative Strategy Requires Setup – The decoupling of defense and discretionary spending in the CR sets the stage for recision bills (up to $500 billion in cuts) and reconciliation (tax reform and border funding) that only require majority votes.
  4. Trust Trump, Not Congress – Even staunch fiscal conservatives like Jim Pfaff argue for trusting Trump and Musk’s approach rather than Congressional Republican leadership, which has repeatedly failed to deliver spending reform.
  5. Conservative Skepticism Remains Valid – Critics rightly point out that Republicans have made promises before, and the concern that delaying confrontation wastes Trump’s mandate and political capital deserves serious consideration.
  6. September Deadline Creates Pressure – The CR only extends through September, requiring Congress to pass all 12 appropriations bills individually for the first time since 1998 or face another shutdown debate.
  7. Federal Worker Accountability – The push for government efficiency reflects taxpayer demands that federal employees demonstrate value and productivity comparable to private sector standards, not protection from oversight.

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Originally broadcast March 13, 2025 on The Conservative Caucus.

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