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The Conservative Caucus Podcast #03 – Gary Jeff Walker & Dan Carroll | Election Coverage

Published: August 20, 2025
Network: Dan
Analysis: Conservative Caucus President Jim Pfaff

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Conservative Caucus President Jim Pfaff joined WLW Radio hosts Gary Jeff Walker and Dan Carroll for comprehensive election night coverage, sharing bold election night predictions that proved remarkably accurate. In a wide-ranging discussion, Pfaff detailed his forecast of a Trump victory with at least 291 electoral votes, explained the grassroots organizing that made it possible, and outlined the Conservative Caucus’s mission to empower citizen activists nationwide. His analysis, grounded in three decades of political experience, provided listeners with real-time insights into the electoral dynamics shaping America’s political future.

Topics Covered

• Pfaff’s Bold Election Night Predictions
• The Pennsylvania Ground Game That Changed Everything
• The Conservative Caucus Mission and Grassroots Network
• Election Integrity and the RNC’s Response
• Working with Thomas Massie: A Conservative Champion
• Key Takeaways

Pfaff’s Bold Election Night Predictions

Days before the election, Jim Pfaff made headlines with a confident forecast that raised eyebrows across the political spectrum. His election night predictions called for a Trump victory with a minimum of 291 electoral votes—a projection that stood in stark contrast to many mainstream polls showing a tight race.

“I predicate this upon two particular states going Trump’s way—Pennsylvania, which I think actually may end up going solidly his way based upon numbers that I’m seeing,” Pfaff explained during the broadcast. His confidence wasn’t based on wishful thinking but on hard data from voter registration trends, early voting patterns, and on-the-ground intelligence from key battleground states.

“Full disclosure, I am a human being. I don’t know everything, but I’ve been handicapping these things for a long time and I’ve missed it a few times, but I predicate this upon two particular states going Trump’s way.”
— Jim Pfaff, President, The Conservative Caucus

Pfaff’s electoral map included victories in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina—all critical swing states that would deliver Trump back to the White House. His methodology combined traditional political handicapping with insights from grassroots organizers working directly with voters in these battleground areas.

The Pennsylvania Ground Game That Changed Everything

The keystone to Pfaff’s prediction was Pennsylvania, where he identified a dramatic shift in the electoral landscape. Working with prominent grassroots organizers Scott Presler and Cliff Maloney, conservative activists had built what Pfaff described as a “massive voter registration and get out the vote” operation that fundamentally altered the state’s political dynamics.

This dramatic reduction in the Democratic early vote advantage—from over a million votes to just 400,000—represented a seismic shift in Pennsylvania politics. Pfaff noted that even in heavily Democratic counties like Philadelphia and Allegheny, Republican voter registration had surged, creating opportunities that didn’t exist in previous election cycles.

“We’ve seen a massive upsurge in voter registration in that county as well,” Pfaff reported. “Republican voter output in early voting is actually very, very good. We’re seeing long lines even today. I’m getting reports from there.”

The Pennsylvania operation represented more than just voter registration—it was a comprehensive ground game that included poll watching, voter integrity monitoring, and rapid response to any irregularities. This multi-layered approach gave Pfaff confidence that the Keystone State would deliver for Trump.

The Conservative Caucus Mission and Grassroots Network

Beyond election analysis, Pfaff used the WLW Radio appearance to introduce listeners to the revitalized Conservative Caucus and its mission to empower everyday Americans to become effective political activists. Founded in 1974 by conservative icon Howard Phillips, the organization is experiencing a renaissance under Pfaff’s leadership.

“We’re building out and actually re-expanding a buildout of our grassroots network nationwide,” Pfaff explained. “I’m bringing 30 years of experience in both grassroots politics as a general consultant for a while to try to help people get things done.”

The organization’s recent activities demonstrated its renewed vigor and relevance. The Conservative Caucus had just completed approximately $8 million in Trump independent expenditures across targeted states—a significant investment that reflected both the organization’s resources and its strategic focus on battleground areas.

Pfaff emphasized that the Conservative Caucus isn’t just about national politics—it’s about empowering citizens to be effective at the local level where policy often has the most direct impact on daily life. The organization’s website, TheConservativeCaucus.org, serves as a hub for activists seeking practical tools and training.

“We have literally a grassroots university there that can help you be effective where you’re at,” Pfaff noted. “We do grassroots trainings around the country and we’ll be doing a whole lot more of those.”

Election Integrity and the RNC’s Response

A significant portion of the election night discussion focused on election integrity—a topic that has become central to conservative concerns following the controversies of 2020. Pfaff praised RNC leadership, particularly Chairman Michael Whatley and Co-Chair Lara Trump, for their proactive approach to monitoring voting irregularities.

“Whatley does seem to be at least up on these big things that have been taking place,” Pfaff observed, noting that Mike Davis of the Article 3 Project had also praised the RNC chairman’s performance. The organization was responding quickly to any reported irregularities, a marked contrast to what many conservatives felt was inadequate attention in previous cycles.

“People on the Republican, conservative, pro-Trump side of things, they’re going to be looking like hawks because they’re already very worried about what may have happened in 2020.”
— Jim Pfaff, President, The Conservative Caucus

However, Pfaff didn’t sugarcoat the challenges. He noted that Pennsylvania activists like Scott Presler and Cliff Maloney were documenting issues in real-time through X Spaces and other platforms, creating a citizen journalism network that supplemented official monitoring efforts.

Looking beyond the immediate election, Pfaff announced that The Conservative Caucus would make election integrity a priority over the next two years. His critique was pointed: America runs “Mark Elias elections”—referring to the prominent Democratic election lawyer—rather than traditional American elections.

“We run Mark Elias elections, we don’t run American elections, and we run Democrat elections. We don’t run American elections doing all this massive mail voting,” Pfaff argued. “So we’re going to have to change that.”

This commitment to election reform represents a long-term strategy that goes beyond any single election cycle. The Conservative Caucus plans to work at state and local levels to restore what Pfaff and many conservatives view as more secure election procedures.

Working with Thomas Massie: A Conservative Champion

The conversation took a personal turn when hosts Gary Jeff Walker and Dan Carroll expressed their admiration for Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie, for whom Pfaff previously served as chief of staff. The discussion revealed the deep respect Pfaff maintains for his former boss and the principles Massie represents.

“It was an honor to work for Thomas. He is the bomb. He’s really great,” Pfaff said with genuine enthusiasm. Massie, who ran unopposed in his reelection, represents Kentucky’s Fourth District and has built a reputation as one of Congress’s most principled constitutional conservatives.

Dan Carroll, whose district is represented by Massie, expressed his appreciation: “I don’t even—I’ve never talked to you before Jim, but that instantly makes you one of my favorite people that you work so closely with Thomas.”

Pfaff’s response highlighted the mutual respect: “You don’t—well you do know how blessed you are to have Thomas Massie.”

The exchange underscored an important aspect of conservative politics—the value placed on principled leadership and consistency. Massie’s unopposed reelection reflected not just political dominance but genuine constituent satisfaction with representation that prioritizes constitutional principles over political expediency.

For Pfaff, his time working with Massie clearly shaped his approach to conservative activism and his understanding of how principled politicians can effectively represent their constituents. That experience now informs his work at The Conservative Caucus, where he seeks to empower more citizens to engage in the political process and hold their representatives accountable.

Key Takeaways

1. Data-Driven Predictions – Pfaff’s election night predictions of a Trump victory with at least 291 electoral votes were based on voter registration trends, early voting data, and grassroots intelligence rather than traditional polling.
2. Pennsylvania’s Transformation – The Democratic early vote firewall in Pennsylvania collapsed from 1.2-1.5 million in 2020 to just 400,000 in 2025, while Republican early voting surged dramatically thanks to organizers like Scott Presler and Cliff Maloney.
3. Grassroots Infrastructure Matters – The Conservative Caucus invested $8 million in Trump independent expenditures and is building a nationwide network to train and empower citizen activists at the local level.
4. Election Integrity Focus – RNC leadership under Michael Whatley and Lara Trump demonstrated improved responsiveness to voting irregularities, while The Conservative Caucus committed to making election reform a two-year priority.
5. Long-Term Strategy – Rather than focusing solely on presidential elections, conservative organizations are investing in grassroots training, local activism, and systemic reforms to America’s election processes.
6. Experience and Expertise – With 30 years of political experience, including service as chief of staff to Rep. Thomas Massie, Pfaff brings practical knowledge of both grassroots organizing and legislative operations to The Conservative Caucus.
7. Citizen Empowerment – The Conservative Caucus offers practical tools including grassroots lobbying tips, a citizen action kit, talking points against progressive policies, and a “grassroots university” for activist training.

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About The Conservative Caucus:
The Conservative Caucus is a grassroots public policy action organization, formed in 1974. Headed by President Jim Pfaff, the Caucus is committed to advancing free enterprise, limited government, and traditional values.

Originally broadcast August 20, 2025 on Dan.